The average 30-year mortgage rate has risen for the third week in a row, according to Freddie Mac. These have been minor increases, but it can still feel disheartening for aspiring home buyers who expected rates to go down in 2024.
Higher inflation numbers are keeping mortgage rates high for now. For the Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate — a move that typically also leads to lower mortgage rates — inflation needs to get closer to the central bank’s target of 2%. In March, inflation was up 3.5% year over year, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. This was a slightly higher increase than economists had predicted.
It’s unlikely that mortgage rates will significantly rise or fall during the spring and summer home-buying season, so you may not want to wait for rates to drop to buy a house. Instead, focus on factors you can control: Figure out how much house you can afford and improve your finances if necessary to get the lowest rate possible.
Learn more: The credit score needed to buy a house in 2024
Current mortgage rates
Mortgage rates are up across the board this week. The national average 30-year mortgage rate is 6.88%, which is six basis points more than last week and 61 points higher than this time in 2023.
The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.16%. This is 10 basis points higher than last week and up 62 points since a year ago.
How mortgage interest rates work
A mortgage interest rate is a fee for borrowing money from your lender, expressed as a percentage. You can choose from two types of rates: fixed or adjustable.
A fixed-rate mortgage locks in your rate for the entire life of your loan. For example, if you get a 30-year mortgage with a 6.75% interest rate, your rate will stay at 6.75% for the entire 30 years unless you refinance or sell.
An adjustable-rate mortgage locks in your rate for a predetermined amount of time, then changes it periodically. Let’s say you get a 7/1 ARM with an introductory rate of 6%. Your rate would be 6% for the first seven years, then the rate would increase or decrease once per year for the last 23 years of your term. Whether your rate goes up or down depends on several factors, such as the economy and housing market.
At the beginning of your mortgage term, most of your monthly payment goes toward interest. Your monthly payment toward principal and interest stays the same throughout the years — however, less and less of your payment goes toward interest, and more goes toward the mortgage principal or the amount you originally borrowed.
Learn more: 5 strategies to get the lowest mortgage rates
Which mortgage term length should you get?
A 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is a good choice if you want a lower mortgage payment and the predictability that comes with having a fixed rate. Just know that your rate will be higher than if you choose a shorter term and will result in paying significantly more in interest over the years.
You might like a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage if you want to pay off your mortgage quickly and save money on interest. These shorter terms come with lower interest rates, and since you’re cutting your repayment time in half, you’ll save a lot in interest in the long run. But you’ll need to make sure you can comfortably afford the higher monthly payments that come with 15-year terms.
Read more: How to decide between a 15-year and 30-year fixed-rate mortgage
An adjustable-rate mortgage could be good if you plan to sell before the introductory rate period ends. Adjustable rates usually start lower than fixed rates, but there’s always the chance that the rate will increase once the rate-lock period is over. But if you get a 10/1 ARM, for example, and plan to sell before the 10-year period is up, you get to enjoy a lower rate and monthly payment without worrying about your rate increasing later.
Expert predictions for mortgage rates in 2024
In Fannie Mae’s latest rate forecast, the government-sponsored enterprise said it expects 30-year fixed rates to end 2024 at 6.4%. This is less optimistic than its February forecast when Fannie Mae expected rates to dip to 5.9% by the end of the year.
When the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate, mortgage rates typically go down in response. However, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s roughly a 95% chance that the Fed will not lower its rate at the central bank’s next meeting on May 1. So we probably won’t see significant changes anytime soon. If you’re ready to buy a house but holding out for rates to plummet first, it might not be worth the wait.
Learn more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards